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Make your roster by accessing the 2012-13 Cancellation Clock Contest web page (link).

You may adjust your roster at any time but you MUST submit your adjusted roster as a NEW reply.

The deadline for ALL ROSTER SUBMISSIONS is Wednesday, September 12, 2012 @ 8:00am EDT.

Point breakdown

1. Points Based on Rank
Based on your personal rank, you will earn points for each of your shows regardless of when they get canceled: if the show you rank as #1 gets canceled at any time, you’ll earn 50 points. ( #2 = 40 points; #3 = 30 points; #4 = 20 points; #5 = 10 points)

2. “Berman Bonus”
You’ll get “Berman Bonus” points attached to every show, based on Marc’s prediction of each series’ odds of survival.

3. Unique Show Points
You get bonus points for picking unique shows (shows not commonly chosen by your fellow players)…

• The formula to determine Unique Show points for one show is:

{ (Number of participants -1) – (Number of participants picking this show) } × 0.20

4. Duplicate Rank Deficit
… however, if you do pick similar shows like others, you are only penalized for ranking them the same as others. So for example, if everyone ranks “Law & Order: Los Angeles” as their #1 show to be canceled, points are deducted from everyone’s total.

• The formula to determine Duplicate Rank Deficit for one show is:

{ (Number of participants picking this show and ranking it the same) } × – 0.20

5. Aired Episodes Points
The less episodes that air for a series before its cancellation, the more points you can earn! Each series starts with a base of 25 points. One point is deducted for each original episode that airs of that specific series.

6. “First Seven Canceled” Bonus
The actual first 7 canceled shows get bonuses:

• First show that gets canceled this season earns you a 100% bonus
• Second show = 85% bonus
• Third show = 70%
• Fourth show = 55% bonus
• Fifth show = 40% bonus
• Sixth show = 25% bonus
• Seventh show = 10% bonus
• Eighth show or later = 0% bonus but the number of one (1)

If more than one show airs its final episode on the same day, this is considered a TIE and I’d take the average percentage. For example, if news of the cancellation of the first two shows of the season happen on the same day, each show gets a bonus of 92.5%

Here’s the mathematical formula for calculating the points of each show of your roster:

{ Points Based on Rank + “Berman Bonus” + Aired Episodes Points + Unique Show Points + Duplicate Rank Deficit }
×
“First Seven Canceled” bonus

Keep in mind that this contest ends on the final day of the May 2013 Sweeps.

Remember, as Marc Berman famously says, “the clock is ticking…”

Past Cancellation Clock Contest champions
2007-08 (51 players): xwiseguyx
2008-09 (33 players): mushu_jj (entire roster) & lopez (points)
2009-10 (49 players): SYTYCDFan (points) & FinFan66 (entire roster)
2010-11 (39 players): WlcmZapataTexas
2011-12 (36 players): Elvis Bus (view results)
2012-13: ???

ROSTER METHOD B:
#1 (50 points): Ben and Kate (FOX) [+12]
#2 (40 points): The Neighbors (ABC) [+9]
#3 (30 points): Go On (NBC) [+9]
#4 (20 points): Guys with Kids (NBC) [+18]
#5 (10 points): Chicago Fire (NBC) [+21]
First cancellation: October 10, 2012

ROSTER METHOD B:
#1 (50 points): Animal Practice (NBC) [+9]
#2 (40 points): The New Normal (FOX) [+21]
#3 (30 points): Made in Jersey (CBS) [+9]
#4 (20 points): Guys with Kids (NBC) [+18]
#5 (10 points): Ben and Kate (FOX) [+12]
First cancellation: September 28, 2012

ROSTER METHOD B:
#1 (50 points): Made in Jersey (CBS) [+9]
#2 (40 points): The Mob Doctor (FOX) [+6]
#3 (30 points): Guys with Kids (NBC) [+18]
#4 (20 points): Nashville (ABC) [+15]
#5 (10 points): The Mindy Project (FOX) [+21]
First cancellation: October 12, 2012

Hopefully, all the nets get their fall preview specials on the air before September 12th so that I can make adjustments based on the sizzle reels for the fall frosh entries.

For updates on the skedding of fall preview specials by the networks (in broadcast slots or as affiliate-distributed specials), please consult the following posting string with the TV Media Insights forums:

http://www.tvmediainsights.com/forum/?mingleforumaction=viewtopic&t=34.0#postid-30745

To date, only ‘The Chew Presents ABC’s Fall Preview Special’ has been skedded, with a primetime slot Sunday September 2, 2012 at 7-8 pm, a daytime encore skedded Sunday September 23, 2012 at 3 pm, and it will also be distributed as a half-hour affiliate special beginning Saturday Sept.15/2012.

This fall, NBC will be least dependent upon their fall preview special as they will be going with a sizzle reel for ‘Revolution’ on tonights ‘Summer Olympics’ coverage, and showcasing preview episodes of ‘Go On’ and ‘Animal Practice’ later this week in Nielsen-rich post-’Summer Olympics’ timeslots. Unless NBC surprises and skeds further sizzle reels for this week, once the ‘Summer Olympics’ are concluded, only ‘Guys with Kids’, ‘The New Normal’ and ‘Chicago Fire’ will still need to be sizzled or previewed to viewers.

ROSTER METHOD A:
#1 (50 points): The Neighbors (ABC) [+9]
#2 (40 points): Animal Practice (NBC) [+9]
#3 (30 points): Made in Jersey (CBS) [+9]
#4 (20 points): Vegas (CBS) [+24]
#5 (10 points): Last Resort (ABC) [+12]
First cancellation: October 4, 2012